Special project by BelaPAN
2003 Local Soviets Elections
 
Sociology

Over Half of Minsk Residents Intend to Vote in Local Elections

Table 1. Are you going to vote in the March 2, 2003 local elections?

 

February 25-28, 2002

July 22-25, 2002

September 18-23, 2002

November 21-25, 2002

December 23 - 25, 2002

Yes

54

55

52

55

54

No

19

24

27

28

23

Difficult to say (have not made up my mind)

27

21

21

17

23

The December poll showed that over a half of those interviewed are going to go to the polls on March 2, 2003 to elect local soviets (councils). The willingness of Minskers to vote in local elections has been stable during the past year.

The Conservative Christian Party led by Zianon Pazniak urged the Belarusian and international community to boycott the local elections. The appeal, adopted by the party's leadership at the December 14, 2002 meeting, found no support with the Belarusian opposition. The general public is mostly unaware of it at all. The pollsters evaluated a possible response of Minsk residents to the appeal to boycott the local elections.

Table 2. If the opposition calls for boycotting the elections, will you follow its advice?

Yes

8

No

62

Difficult to say

30

The majority of Minsk residents interviewed did not support the idea of a boycott. The reaction in the provinces is likely to be even more negative.

Over the last two months, Minskers have changed their mind on the possibility of the election fraud. A relative majority of the respondents (39 percent against 32 percent) said in December that vote results would not be rigged. The Central Election Commission has not changed its methods, so the change in the public's attitude should be attributed to the lack of information about the election campaign and the lack of critical materials about concrete events related to the local elections.

Table 3. Do you think the results of the spring 2003 local elections will be rigged?

 

October 22-25, 2002

December 23-25, 2002

They will be rigged

14

14

They are likely to be rigged

24

18

They are unlikely to be rigged

12

21

They will not be rigged

16

18

Difficult to say

34

29