Analysis
LUKASHENKO'S BID FOR THIRD PRESIDENTIAL TERM ILLEGAL
2001-09-06
According to the Constitution, a person cannot be
elected president for more than two terms. This brings up the question
whether Lukashenko is running for the second or the third term. According
to the current Constitution, he is claiming for the third term.
Lukashenko was elected Belarus' president in June 1994. His first five-year
term began after he was sworn in. By November 1996, Lukashenko had become
dissatisfied with the Constitution because it limited his power ambitions.
He began violating its provisions. The Constitutional Court declared Lukashenko's
acts of law illegitimate in 18 instances as violating human rights and
freedoms. Facing impeachment in autumn 1996, Lukashenko staged a national
referendum, the adoption of a new Constitution being the main issue.
The adoption of a new Constitution was legally controversial. It was legal
to amend the Constitution, but not to adopt a new Constitution at the
referendum. Therefore the presidential lawyers came forward with an intricate
proposal to adopt a "new wording" of the Constitution. On November 4,
1996, the Constitutional Court ruled that the voting results of the referendum
were not binding. The voting ballot contained a reference to the Court's
decision. Lukashenko challenged the Court's decision and ordered that
the voting results were binding.
Thanks to heavy government propaganda, pressure on people to vote ahead
of the voting day and ballot-rigging, Lukashenko's proposal was eventually
adopted at the referendum. Two days after the voting, the new wording
of the Constitution took effect.
Under the cover of the referendum, Belarus' authorities took over power
in a coup. Legitimate bodies of power - parliament, the cabinet and supreme
courts - were disbanded and formed anew under the new pseudo-Constitution.
It was then that Lukashenko lost the constitutional right to be Belarus'
president.
Ironically, the new Constitution did an ill service to Lukashenko because
it terminated de jure his first term in office. This conclusion ensues
from two articles of Chapter 9 of the 1996 Constitution.
Article 141 says that the Constitution, with amendments and alterations
adopted at national referendum, becomes effective from the day of publication,
i.e. November 27, 1996. Under Article 144, Belarus' president shall retain
his powers. "The presidential tenure starts from the day of putting the
Constitution in force", Article 144 says.
Despite the verbal muddle, the Constitution clearly states that the president
retains his powers without reelection. The fact that he was not sworn
in for the second time does not change it.
Nevertheless, the enacting of a new Constitution terminated Lukashenko's
first term. In violation of the democratic traditions, Lukashenko started
the second presidential term on the basis of the illegal Constitution.
One may object that the 1996 Constitution simply extended Lukashenko's
term by two years. But under Article 81 of the Constitution the presidential
term lasts five years. Under Part 2 Article 357 of the Criminal Code ("Takeover
or retention of power in an unconstitutional manner"), the extension of
the presidential term is a constituent element of crime against the state,
entailing 10 to 15 years of imprisonment. But it is legal to cut the presidential
term, as Lukashenko actually did in 1996 to his first five-year term.
Lukashenko drove himself in a legal trap having extended his powers through
the controversial referendum. He put in force a new Constitution instead
of making amendments to it (naturally, amendments could not prolong the
president's term without holding new elections). Lukashenko refused to
run for reelection in May 1999, when his five-year term expired. He chose
to start a new term in November 1996. This term is coming to an end now.
He has no legal grounds to make the third bid. He can retain power only
by force, in an illegal manner.
Lukashenko ought to withdraw from the race. The CEC ought to strip him
of the presidential candidate's certificate. Lukashenko has no right to
be Belarus' president for the third time.