Analysis
BELARUS' CONFLICT WITH INTERNATIONAL OBSERVERS GOING ON
Five ODIHR observers arrived in Minsk on the afternoon
of August 17, while two members of the team stayed behind because they
were still unable to obtain Belarusian visas. The two observers, a British
and a U.S. nationals, were members of the ODIHR Technical Assessment Mission,
which was deployed in Belarus during the October 2000 parliamentary elections.
Aleksandr Lukashenko's campaign manager Nikolai Cherginets, a member of
the upper chamber of parliament, condemned the international institutions'
attitude during the last year's parliament elections. "The ODIHR and OSCE
received invitations but treated our sovereign state like an animal farm,"
he told reporters on August 13 speaking at the Central Election Commission.
The Belarusian authorities traditionally tried to find someone to blame.
On August 16, the Belarusian Foreign Ministry made a statement urging
the United States and the European Union member states not to interfere
in the election process in the Republic of Belarus. "Guided by its intention
to conduct the forthcoming presidential election in a democratic, fair
and transparent manner," the Belarusian government has invited representatives
of OSCE countries, the OSCE ODIHR, the European Parliament, and the Parliamentary
Assemblies of the OSCE and the Council of Europe, the statement says.
"Again, like during the 2000 parliamentary election campaign, the Government
of the Republic of Belarus thereby displays its open approach to the conduct
of the presidential election and to the presence of foreign observers,
and in this regard condemns statements by the US Department of State and
a number of European institutions with respect to the Belarusian authorities,
[alleged] interest in the falsification of the election results."
"The Government of the Republic of Belarus emphasizes the fact that in
violation of existing documents, in 2000, the OSCE ODIHR refused to participate
in the full-scale observation of parliamentary elections in Belarus, which
is a member of this organization," the statement says. "However, that
did not prevent the OSCE ODIHR from drawing a disputable conclusion that
the election results should not be recognized. The Belarusian side regards
such an approach as politically motivated. It shows that the OSCE ODIHR
is not free in making its own decisions. It is a dangerous precedent for
the OSCE that its authorized institution, avoiding the observation of
elections despite existing documents, assumes the right to comment on
their results," the statement says. "In these conditions, the Government
of the Republic of Belarus expresses doubt about the objectivity of the
OSCE ODIHR's position during the present presidential election."
The Belarusian authorities seem to cherish no illusions about the international
observers' conclusions with regard to the presidential election. They
have been trying to intimidate the observers or to picture them as biased
in the eyes of Belarusian voters. They have used any means to delay the
observers' coming to Belarus, so that to have an opportunity later to
challenge their ability to objectively assess the situation in such a
short term. It is evident that within several days that the observers
will spend in Belarus they will have fewer chances to observe electoral
violations. They have not, for instance, observed the flaws in the formation
of election commissions. As a result, the authorities' critics were barred
the way to the commissions. The ODIHR experts have also not personally
witnessed the controversy concerning ballot-access signatures. Contesting
the CEC conclusions, some of the former presidential bidders, including
ex-ambassador to Latvia, Estonia and Finland Mikhail Marinich and former
head of Lukashenko's Presidential Administration Leonid Sinitsyn, claim
they have filed more than 100,000 voter signatures required to get them
on the ballot.
As the day of the first election round on September 9 approaches, the
situation in the country becomes charged. The Belarusian authorities,
for instance, have recently launched an attack against Belarusian NGOs.
Under various pretexts, the police raid NGO offices, making probes in
their activities and seizing computers and other equipment. So the international
observers will have enough to see in Belarus.